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Picks
Mon 19:45ATA1-0PAR59%Mon 19:45LOR1-0BRE44%Mon 20:00DEP1-0OSA43%Mon 20:00NEW1-0EVE42%Mon 20:15BEN2-0ALV77%Mon 20:15GIL1-0VSC44%Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%
Champions League · League phase, matchday 4Wednesday 4 November · 20:00 · Fortuna Arena
Slavia Prague32nd place
Rinvalo prediction0-2
Arsenal7th place
SLA 7%X 14%ARS 79%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Arsenal lead by 463 points on the European rating.
  • If Slavia Prague score first, they win 28% of the time
  • If Arsenal score first, they win 93% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals0.5 – 2.3
Over 2.553%
Both teams score34%
Likeliest score0-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
17%15.34X14%7.10279%1.26
Double chance
1X21%4.85X293%1.071286%1.16
Goals
Over 2.553%1.90Under 2.547%2.11BTTS yes34%2.95BTTS no66%1.51

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
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5
Rows: Slavia Prague · Columns: Arsenal0-2 probability 16.6%

Form

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