TR
Picks
Championship · Matchday 14Tuesday 3 November · 19:45 · Deepdale
PNE 30%X 28%SHU 42%

What's at stake

Preston North EndRelegation81%88%91%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Sheffield United lead by 155 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Sheffield United 2.0 points per game, Preston North End 0.2.
  • If Preston North End score first, they win 60% of the time
  • If Sheffield United score first, they win 71% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.5
Over 2.550%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Sheffield United win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
130%3.32X28%3.62242%2.36
Double chance
1X58%1.73X270%1.431272%1.38
Goals
Over 2.550%2.01Under 2.550%1.99BTTS yes55%1.83BTTS no45%2.20

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Preston North End · Columns: Sheffield United1-1 probability 13.1%

Head to head

Sheffield United – Preston North End25 April 20262-3
Preston North End – Sheffield United24 October 20253-2
Sheffield United – Preston North End8 March 20251-0
Preston North End – Sheffield United9 August 20240-2
Sheffield United – Preston North End29 April 20234-1
Preston North End – Sheffield United17 September 20220-2