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Champions League · League phase, matchday 4Tuesday 3 November · 20:00 · Aspmyra Stadion
Bodø/Glimt28th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1
Lille35th place
BOD 59%X 19%LIL 21%

What does the market say?

Bodø/GlimtDrawLilleRinvalo59%19%21%
Market53%24%24%

✓ Agree · both back Bodø/Glimt

Prediction

Key factors
  • Bodø/Glimt lead by 83 points on the European rating.
  • If Bodø/Glimt score first, they win 80% of the time
  • If Lille score first, they win 46% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.0 – 1.1
Over 2.558%
Both teams score57%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Bodø/Glimt win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
159%1.69X19%5.20221%4.67
Double chance
1X79%1.27X241%2.461281%1.24
Goals
Over 2.558%1.73Market 64%Under 2.542%2.38Market 36%BTTS yes57%1.77Market 63%BTTS no43%2.31Market 38%

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Bodø/Glimt · Columns: Lille1-1 probability 10.9%

Form

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