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Picks
Mon 19:45ATA1-0PAR59%Mon 19:45LOR1-0BRE44%Mon 20:00DEP1-0OSA43%Mon 20:00NEW1-0EVE42%Mon 20:15BEN2-0ALV77%Mon 20:15GIL1-0VSC44%Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%
Champions League · League phase, matchday 4Tuesday 3 November · 20:00 · Estadio de la Cerámica
Villarreal19th place
Rinvalo prediction0-2
Paris Saint-Germain1st place
VIL 13%X 18%PSG 69%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Paris Saint-Germain lead by 331 points on the European rating.
  • If Villarreal score first, they win 38% of the time
  • If Paris Saint-Germain score first, they win 87% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals0.8 – 2.1
Over 2.555%
Both teams score47%
Likeliest score0-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
113%7.57X18%5.54269%1.45
Double chance
1X31%3.20X287%1.151282%1.22
Goals
Over 2.555%1.83Under 2.545%2.20BTTS yes47%2.11BTTS no53%1.90

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
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5
Rows: Villarreal · Columns: Paris Saint-Germain0-2 probability 12.6%

Form

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