TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Ligue 1 · Matchday 9Monday 2 November · 19:45 · Stade du Moustoir
Lorient10th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Brest14th place
LOR 44%X 29%BRE 27%

What does the market say?

LorientDrawBrestRinvalo44%29%27%
Market38%29%33%

✓ Agree · both back Lorient

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Lorient 1.6 points per game, Brest 0.8.
  • The market also backs the home side (38%).
  • If Lorient score first, they win 73% of the time
  • If Brest score first, they win 59% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.1
Over 2.548%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Lorient win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
144%2.28X29%3.50227%3.64
Double chance
1X73%1.38X256%1.781271%1.40
Goals
Over 2.548%2.09Under 2.552%1.92BTTS yes53%1.90BTTS no47%2.11

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Lorient · Columns: Brest1-1 probability 13.2%

Form

Compare →
LorientDLWWD
BrestLLWDL

Head to head

Brest – Lorient7 February 20262-0
Lorient – Brest19 October 20253-3
Lorient – Brest31 March 20240-1
Brest – Lorient20 December 20234-0
Lorient – Brest7 May 20232-1
Brest – Lorient9 October 20221-2