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Picks
Mon 19:45ATA1-0PAR59%Mon 19:45LOR1-0BRE44%Mon 20:00DEP1-0OSA43%Mon 20:00NEW1-0EVE42%Mon 20:15BEN2-0ALV77%Mon 20:15GIL1-0VSC44%Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%
Championship · Matchday 14Tuesday 3 November · 19:45 · Pride Park Stadium
Derby County23rd place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Norwich City15th place
DER 29%X 28%NOR 43%

What's at stake

Derby CountyRelegation52%65%67%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Norwich City lead by 99 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Norwich City -0.1, Derby County -0.9.
  • If Derby County score first, they win 59% of the time
  • If Norwich City score first, they win 71% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.5
Over 2.552%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Norwich City win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Derby County · Columns: Norwich City1-1 probability 12.8%

Form

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Head to head

Norwich City – Derby County21 April 20262-1
Derby County – Norwich City21 October 20251-0
Norwich City – Derby County8 February 20251-1
Derby County – Norwich City28 September 20242-3