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La Liga · Matchday 11Monday 2 November · 20:00 · Estadio Abanca-Riazor
Deportivo8th place
Full time2-1Rinvalo's pick: 1-0✓ Result correct
Osasuna15th place
DEP 43%X 29%OSA 29%

What does the market say?

DeportivoDrawOsasunaRinvalo43%29%29%
Market44%29%27%

✓ Agree · both back Deportivo

Prediction

Predicted: 1-0
Key factors
  • The market also backs the home side (44%).
  • If Deportivo score first, they win 72% of the time
  • If Osasuna score first, they win 61% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.1
Over 2.545%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Deportivo win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
143%2.35X29%3.48229%3.48
Double chance
1X71%1.40X257%1.741271%1.40
Goals
Over 2.545%2.21Under 2.555%1.83BTTS yes51%1.97BTTS no49%2.04

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Deportivo · Columns: Osasuna2-1 probability 8.8% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Deportivo – Osasuna2 November 20262-1