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Championship · Matchday 14Tuesday 3 November · 19:45 · Fratton Park
Portsmouth11th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Swansea City3rd place
POR 39%X 29%SWA 32%

What's at stake

Swansea CityAutomatic promotion11%6%5%

Prediction

  • If Portsmouth score first, they win 70% of the time
  • If Swansea City score first, they win 64% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.1
Over 2.544%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Portsmouth win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
139%2.54X29%3.45232%3.16
Double chance
1X68%1.46X261%1.651271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.544%2.27Under 2.556%1.79BTTS yes50%1.98BTTS no50%2.02

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Portsmouth · Columns: Swansea City1-1 probability 13.8%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Portsmouth – Swansea City10 March 20261-2
Swansea City – Portsmouth9 December 20251-0
Portsmouth – Swansea City1 January 20254-0
Swansea City – Portsmouth30 November 20242-2