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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Champions League · League phase, matchday 4Tuesday 3 November · 17:45 · Rams Park
Galatasaray23rd place
Rinvalo prediction2-1
Stuttgart6th place
GS 43%X 22%VFB 35%

What does the market say?

GalatasarayDrawStuttgartRinvalo43%22%35%
Market44%24%33%

✓ Agree · both back Galatasaray

Prediction

Key factors
  • The Bundesliga average is 104 points above the Süper Lig average.
  • If Galatasaray score first, they win 67% of the time
  • If Stuttgart score first, they win 61% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.4
Over 2.559%
Both teams score62%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Galatasaray win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
143%2.32X22%4.61235%2.84
Double chance
1X65%1.54X257%1.761278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.559%1.71Market 70%Under 2.541%2.41Market 30%BTTS yes62%1.62Market 69%BTTS no38%2.60Market 31%

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Galatasaray · Columns: Stuttgart1-1 probability 11.8%

Form

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