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Champions League · League phase, matchday 4Tuesday 3 November · 20:00 · Old Trafford
Manchester United21st place
Rinvalo prediction1-2
Roma15th place
MUN 39%X 22%ROM 40%

What does the market say?

Manchester UnitedDrawRomaRinvalo39%22%40%
Market43%24%34%

⚠ Split · Rinvalo Roma 40%, market Manchester United 43%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Roma lead by 79 points on the European rating.
  • The Premier League average is 123 points above the Serie A average.
  • If Manchester United score first, they win 64% of the time
  • If Roma score first, they win 65% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.5
Over 2.558%
Both teams score62%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Roma win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
139%2.60X22%4.56240%2.53
Double chance
1X60%1.65X261%1.631278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.558%1.71Market 64%Under 2.542%2.40Market 36%BTTS yes62%1.62Market 65%BTTS no38%2.61Market 35%

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Manchester United · Columns: Roma1-1 probability 11.9%

Form

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