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Championship · Matchday 14Tuesday 3 November · 19:45 · The Valley
Charlton Athletic20th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Bolton Wanderers19th place
CHA 41%X 28%BOL 31%

What's at stake

Charlton AthleticRelegation26%36%40%
Bolton WanderersRelegation25%34%39%

What does the market say?

Charlton AthleticDrawBolton WanderersRinvalo41%28%31%
Market42%28%30%

✓ Agree · both back Charlton Athletic

Prediction

Key factors
  • The market also backs the home side (42%).
  • If Charlton Athletic score first, they win 70% of the time
  • If Bolton Wanderers score first, they win 62% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.2
Over 2.547%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Charlton Athletic win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
141%2.45X28%3.55231%3.23
Double chance
1X69%1.45X259%1.691272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.547%2.13Market 55%Under 2.553%1.89Market 45%BTTS yes53%1.90Market 59%BTTS no47%2.11Market 41%

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Charlton Athletic · Columns: Bolton Wanderers1-1 probability 13.5%

Form

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