GS
SHA
BLB
CHA
DER
POR
PNE
QPR
WAT
BIR
WBA
ATM
BAR
BOD
FEY
LAS
MUN
VIL
REN
AEK
FB
CAR
WRE
BRC
GIL 44%X 29%VSC 27%
What does the market say?
Gil VicenteDrawVitória de GuimarãesRinvalo44%29%27%Market33%30%38%
⚠ Split · Rinvalo Gil Vicente 44%, market Vitória de Guimarães 38%
Prediction
Predicted: 1-0Key factors
- The market differs: the away side 38%.
- If Gil Vicente score first, they win 75% of the time
- If Vitória de Guimarães score first, they win 61% of the time
- Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals1.3 – 0.9
Over 2.539%
Both teams score46%
Likeliest score1-1
Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Gil Vicente win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
144%2.26X29%3.42227%3.76
Double chance
1X73%1.36X256%1.791271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.539%2.55Under 2.561%1.65BTTS yes46%2.19BTTS no54%1.84
Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.
Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Gil Vicente · Columns: Vitória de Guimarães0-0 probability 11.4% · final score
Form
Compare →
Gil VicenteLDWLD
Vitória de GuimarãesLDLWDHead to head
Gil Vicente – Vitória de Guimarães2 November 20260-0
Gil Vicente – Vitória de Guimarães18 April 20260-1
Vitória de Guimarães – Gil Vicente8 December 20250-0
Gil Vicente – Vitória de Guimarães11 April 20250-1
Vitória de Guimarães – Gil Vicente2 December 20244-0
Gil Vicente – Vitória de Guimarães28 January 20241-0