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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Championship · Matchday 14Tuesday 3 November · 19:45 · MATRADE Loftus Road
QPR9th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Burnley22nd place
QPR 50%X 26%BUR 24%

What's at stake

BurnleyRelegation5%7%8%

What does the market say?

QPRDrawBurnleyRinvalo50%26%24%
Market48%26%26%

✓ Agree · both back QPR

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: QPR 0.5, Burnley -0.2.
  • The market also backs the home side (48%).
  • If QPR score first, they win 75% of the time
  • If Burnley score first, they win 53% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.7 – 1.1
Over 2.555%
Both teams score57%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a QPR win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
150%2.01X26%3.84224%4.13
Double chance
1X76%1.32X250%1.991274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.555%1.83Market 55%Under 2.545%2.20Market 45%BTTS yes57%1.76Market 58%BTTS no43%2.31Market 42%

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: QPR · Columns: Burnley1-1 probability 12.0%

Form

Compare →
QPRDWLWL
BurnleyWDLLD

Head to head

QPR – Burnley26 April 20250-5
Burnley – QPR26 October 20240-0
Burnley – QPR22 April 20231-2
QPR – Burnley11 December 20220-3