TR
Picks
Championship · Matchday 14Tuesday 3 November · 19:45 · Ewood Park
Blackburn Rovers13th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Stoke City7th place
BLB 41%X 30%STK 29%

What's at stake

Blackburn RoversRelegation3%4%6%

Prediction

  • If Blackburn Rovers score first, they win 72% of the time
  • If Stoke City score first, they win 63% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.0
Over 2.540%
Both teams score47%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Blackburn Rovers win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
141%2.45X30%3.34229%3.42
Double chance
1X71%1.41X259%1.691270%1.43
Goals
Over 2.540%2.51Under 2.560%1.66BTTS yes47%2.14BTTS no53%1.88

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Blackburn Rovers · Columns: Stoke City1-1 probability 14.1%

Head to head

Stoke City – Blackburn Rovers11 April 20261-1
Blackburn Rovers – Stoke City4 October 20251-1
Stoke City – Blackburn Rovers12 March 20251-0
Blackburn Rovers – Stoke City6 November 20240-2
Blackburn Rovers – Stoke City10 February 20243-1
Stoke City – Blackburn Rovers25 November 20230-3