Championship predictions and table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF:GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Middlesbrough	13	8	4	1	30:17	+13	28	WWDWW
2	Southampton	13	8	3	2	28:13	+15	27	WWDWW
3	Swansea City	13	8	2	3	20:13	+7	26	WWLLW
4	Wolverhampton	13	7	3	3	23:16	+7	24	LWDWW
5	West Bromwich Albion	13	7	3	3	19:14	+5	24	LWWDW
6	Birmingham City	13	6	5	2	23:13	+10	23	WWWLW
7	Stoke City	13	7	2	4	20:16	+4	23	WLWDW
8	West Ham	13	6	4	3	33:18	+15	22	DWWLL
9	QPR	13	5	5	3	21:16	+5	20	DWLWL
10	Sheffield United	13	5	4	4	17:15	+2	19	WLWDW
11	Portsmouth	13	5	4	4	16:15	+1	19	WWDWD
12	Millwall	13	5	3	5	23:21	+2	18	WLDLW
13	Blackburn Rovers	13	5	3	5	19:20	-1	18	WWLWL
14	Bristol City	13	5	3	5	15:17	-2	18	DLLDW
15	Norwich City	13	5	0	8	23:24	-1	15	LLLWW
16	Lincoln City	13	4	3	6	14:23	-9	15	LLDWL
17	Cardiff City	13	3	5	5	19:20	-1	14	LWDWL
18	Wrexham	13	3	5	5	15:19	-4	14	DLWLL
19	Bolton Wanderers	13	4	2	7	18:26	-8	14	LWDLL
20	Charlton Athletic	13	3	5	5	11:21	-10	14	DDLLL
21	Watford	13	3	2	8	12:23	-11	11	LLWLL
22	Burnley	13	1	6	6	17:25	-8	9	WDLLD
23	Derby County	13	1	4	8	11:25	-14	7	DLLDL
24	Preston North End	13	1	2	10	10:27	-17	5	LLLDL

Blue: top 2 · Red: relegation zone

Expected final table from 5,000 simulated seasons

#	Team	Now	Projected	Run-in	Title	Top 2	Relegation
1	Middlesbrough	28	93	-5	53%	83%	0%
2	Southampton	27	90	-9	37%	75%	0%
3▲3	Birmingham City	23	78	-5	3%	11%	0%
4▲4	West Ham	22	77	-1	2%	8%	0%
5▼1	Wolverhampton	24	77	+2	2%	7%	0%
6▼3	Swansea City	26	76	-6	2%	7%	0%
7▼2	West Bromwich Albion	24	75	+1	1%	5%	0%
8▲4	Millwall	18	71	-4	<1%	2%	0%
9	QPR	20	70	-3	<1%	2%	0%
10▲1	Portsmouth	19	65	0	<1%	<1%	<1%
11▲4	Norwich City	15	65	-11	<1%	<1%	<1%
12▼2	Sheffield United	19	64	+4	0%	<1%	<1%
13▼6	Stoke City	23	63	+6	0%	0%	<1%
14	Bristol City	18	62	+6	0%	<1%	1%
15▲3	Wrexham	14	58	-2	0%	0%	3%
16▼3	Blackburn Rovers	18	57	-1	0%	0%	4%
17▲5	Burnley	9	54	-1	0%	0%	7%
18▼1	Cardiff City	14	54	+8	0%	0%	7%
19▼3	Lincoln City	15	52	-6	0%	0%	14%
20▼1	Bolton Wanderers	14	47	+0	0%	0%	33%
21▼1	Charlton Athletic	14	47	+9	0%	0%	33%
22▼1	Watford	11	45	+5	0%	0%	48%
23	Derby County	7	42	-1	0%	0%	62%
24	Preston North End	5	37	+15	0%	0%	87%

Expected goals (xG) table

#	Team	P	Goals	xG	xGD	Pts	xPts	Diff
1	Middlesbrough	13	30:17	27.7:12.6	+15.1	28	26.7	+1.3
2	Wolverhampton	13	23:16	22.5:12.1	+10.4	24	24.7	-0.7
3	West Ham	13	33:18	26.3:16.5	+9.8	22	22.7	-0.7
4	Millwall	13	23:21	24.9:17.2	+7.7	18	21.8	-3.8
5	QPR	13	21:16	21.6:14.8	+6.8	20	21.5	-1.5
6	Southampton	13	28:13	22.5:16.4	+6.1	27	21.6	+5.4
7	Birmingham City	13	23:13	22.5:18.1	+4.3	23	20.9	+2.1
8	Swansea City	13	20:13	20.9:16.7	+4.2	26	20.6	+5.4
9	Cardiff City	13	19:20	24.1:21.6	+2.5	14	19.2	-5.2
10	Bristol City	13	15:17	18.9:17.4	+1.5	18	19.4	-1.4
11	Portsmouth	13	16:15	16.0:15.5	+0.5	19	18.2	+0.8
12	West Bromwich Albion	13	19:14	18.8:18.6	+0.2	24	17.7	+6.3
13	Norwich City	13	23:24	18.4:18.9	-0.6	15	17.5	-2.5
14	Wrexham	13	15:19	14.5:15.7	-1.2	14	17.5	-3.5
15	Sheffield United	13	17:15	16.4:18.2	-1.8	19	16.6	+2.4
16	Lincoln City	13	14:23	17.4:19.5	-2.1	15	17.4	-2.4
17	Burnley	13	17:25	17.4:19.9	-2.5	9	16.1	-7.1
18	Preston North End	13	10:27	15.0:20.0	-5.0	5	14.6	-9.6
19	Stoke City	13	20:16	13.2:19.4	-6.2	23	15.0	+8.0
20	Charlton Athletic	13	11:21	12.3:20.4	-8.1	14	13.0	+1.0
21	Bolton Wanderers	13	18:26	17.7:26.2	-8.5	14	13.7	+0.3
22	Watford	13	12:23	13.5:23.8	-10.3	11	11.8	-0.8
23	Blackburn Rovers	13	19:20	12.7:23.8	-11.1	18	11.8	+6.2
24	Derby County	13	11:25	13.0:24.9	-11.9	7	12.8	-5.8