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Champions League · League phase, matchday 4Wednesday 4 November · 17:45 · Chobani Stadyumu
Fenerbahçe31st place
Rinvalo prediction1-2
Liverpool3rd place
FB 30%X 22%LIV 48%

What does the market say?

FenerbahçeDrawLiverpoolRinvalo30%22%48%
Market18%20%62%

✓ Agree · both back Liverpool

Prediction

Key factors
  • Liverpool lead by 150 points on the European rating.
  • The Premier League average is 162 points above the Süper Lig average.
  • If Fenerbahçe score first, they win 56% of the time
  • If Liverpool score first, they win 72% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.7
Over 2.558%
Both teams score60%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Liverpool win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
130%3.35X22%4.60248%2.07
Double chance
1X52%1.94X270%1.431278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.558%1.73Market 66%Under 2.542%2.36Market 34%BTTS yes60%1.66Market 59%BTTS no40%2.51Market 41%

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Fenerbahçe · Columns: Liverpool1-1 probability 11.7%

Form

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