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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Championship · Matchday 14Wednesday 4 November · 20:00 · Ashton Gate Stadium
Bristol City14th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Wolverhampton4th place
BRC 31%X 28%WOL 40%

What's at stake

WolverhamptonAutomatic promotion9%6%4%

What does the market say?

Bristol CityDrawWolverhamptonRinvalo31%28%40%
Market28%27%46%

✓ Agree · both back Wolverhampton

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Wolverhampton 2.0 points per game, Bristol City 1.0.
  • The market also backs the away side (46%).
  • If Bristol City score first, they win 62% of the time
  • If Wolverhampton score first, they win 70% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.4
Over 2.547%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Wolverhampton win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
131%3.19X28%3.53240%2.48
Double chance
1X60%1.67X269%1.461272%1.40
Goals
Over 2.547%2.12Market 50%Under 2.553%1.89Market 50%BTTS yes53%1.90Market 54%BTTS no47%2.12Market 46%

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Bristol City · Columns: Wolverhampton1-1 probability 13.5%

Form

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