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Europa League · League phase, matchday 4Wednesday 4 November · 15:30 · Roazhon Park
Rennes13th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1
Olympiacos5th place
REN 42%X 22%OLY 36%

What does the market say?

RennesDrawOlympiacosRinvalo42%22%36%
Market43%26%31%

✓ Agree · both back Rennes

Prediction

  • If Rennes score first, they win 67% of the time
  • If Olympiacos score first, they win 62% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.5
Over 2.559%
Both teams score62%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Rennes win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
142%2.39X22%4.59236%2.75
Double chance
1X64%1.57X258%1.721278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.559%1.71Market 55%Under 2.542%2.41Market 45%BTTS yes62%1.62Market 58%BTTS no38%2.61Market 42%

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Rennes · Columns: Olympiacos1-1 probability 11.8%

Form

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