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Champions League · League phase, matchday 4Wednesday 4 November · 20:00 · Signal Iduna Park
Dortmund13th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0
Real Betis5th place
BVB 65%X 18%BET 17%

What does the market say?

DortmundDrawReal BetisRinvalo65%18%17%
Market56%22%22%

✓ Agree · both back Dortmund

Prediction

Key factors
  • Dortmund lead by 128 points on the European rating.
  • The Bundesliga average is 86 points above the La Liga average.
  • If Dortmund score first, they win 83% of the time
  • If Real Betis score first, they win 42% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.1 – 0.9
Over 2.557%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
165%1.55X18%5.58217%5.73
Double chance
1X83%1.21X235%2.831282%1.22
Goals
Over 2.557%1.74Market 62%Under 2.543%2.34Market 38%BTTS yes53%1.88Market 61%BTTS no47%2.14Market 39%

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
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Rows: Dortmund · Columns: Real Betis2-0 probability 10.8%

Form

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