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Champions League · League phase, matchday 4Wednesday 4 November · 20:00 · Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Lens27th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2
Como9th place
RCL 35%X 22%COM 44%

What does the market say?

LensDrawComoRinvalo35%22%44%
Market32%25%43%

✓ Agree · both back Como

Prediction

Key factors
  • Como lead by 111 points on the European rating.
  • If Lens score first, they win 60% of the time
  • If Como score first, they win 68% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.6
Over 2.558%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Como win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
135%2.90X22%4.55244%2.30
Double chance
1X56%1.77X265%1.531278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.558%1.72Market 62%Under 2.542%2.39Market 38%BTTS yes61%1.63Market 65%BTTS no39%2.58Market 35%

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Lens · Columns: Como1-1 probability 11.8%

Form

Compare →
LensWLL
ComoWLW