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Champions League · League phase, matchday 4Wednesday 4 November · 20:00 · Philips Stadion
PSV Eindhoven18th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1
Club Brugge11th place
PSV 51%X 21%CLU 28%

What does the market say?

PSV EindhovenDrawClub BruggeRinvalo51%21%28%
Market47%22%31%

✓ Agree · both back PSV Eindhoven

Prediction

  • If PSV Eindhoven score first, they win 74% of the time
  • If Club Brugge score first, they win 54% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.8 – 1.2
Over 2.558%
Both teams score60%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a PSV Eindhoven win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
151%1.96X21%4.81228%3.56
Double chance
1X72%1.39X249%2.051279%1.26
Goals
Over 2.558%1.71Market 72%Under 2.542%2.41Market 28%BTTS yes60%1.66Market 71%BTTS no40%2.51Market 29%

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: PSV Eindhoven · Columns: Club Brugge1-1 probability 11.5%

Form

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