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Primeira Liga · Matchday 2Sunday 16 August · 20:30 · Estádio Municipal de Braga
Braga7th place
Postponed–
Gil Vicente9th place
SCB 49%X 28%GIL 22%

What does the market say?

BragaDrawGil VicenteRinvalo49%28%22%
Market59%24%17%

✓ Agree · both back Braga

Prediction

Key factors
  • Braga lead by 63 rating points.
  • If Braga score first, they win 78% of the time
  • If Gil Vicente score first, they win 55% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.5 – 0.9
Over 2.542%
Both teams score47%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Braga win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
149%2.02X28%3.54222%4.49
Double chance
1X78%1.29X251%1.981272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.542%2.37Under 2.558%1.73BTTS yes47%2.14BTTS no53%1.87

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Braga · Columns: Gil Vicente1-1 probability 13.2%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Gil Vicente – Braga14 February 20262-1
Braga – Gil Vicente14 September 20250-1
Braga – Gil Vicente9 February 20252-0
Gil Vicente – Braga1 September 20240-0
Braga – Gil Vicente16 March 20242-1
Gil Vicente – Braga28 October 20233-3