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Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Championship · Matchday 6Tuesday 20 October · 19:45 · Molineux Stadium
Wolverhampton4th place
Full time1-1Rinvalo's pick: 2-1✕ Missed
Portsmouth11th place
WOL 57%X 24%POR 19%

What does the market say?

WolverhamptonDrawPortsmouthRinvalo57%24%19%
Market59%23%18%

✓ Agree · both back Wolverhampton

Prediction

Predicted: 2-1
Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Wolverhampton 2.0 points per game, Portsmouth 1.0.
  • If Wolverhampton score first, they win 79% of the time
  • If Portsmouth score first, they win 45% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals2.1 – 1.1
Over 2.563%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Wolverhampton win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
157%1.74X24%4.20219%5.34
Double chance
1X81%1.23X243%2.351276%1.31
Goals
Over 2.563%1.59Under 2.537%2.68BTTS yes61%1.65BTTS no40%2.53

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Wolverhampton · Columns: Portsmouth1-1 probability 10.1% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Wolverhampton – Portsmouth20 October 20261-1