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Süper Lig · Matchday 9Monday 26 October · 16:00 · Tüpraş Stadyumu
Beşiktaş4th place
Full time2-0Rinvalo's pick: 2-0✓ Exact score
Başakşehir10th place
BJK 62%X 22%İBFK 16%

What does the market say?

BeşiktaşDrawBaşakşehirRinvalo62%22%16%
Market68%18%14%

✓ Agree · both back Beşiktaş

Prediction

Predicted: 2-0
Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Beşiktaş 1.8 points per game, Başakşehir 0.8.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Beşiktaş 1.0, Başakşehir 0.0.
  • Beşiktaş take 2.0 points per game at home.
  • If Beşiktaş score first, they win 83% of the time
  • If Başakşehir score first, they win 43% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.0 – 0.9
Over 2.557%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
162%1.62X22%4.48216%6.33
Double chance
1X84%1.19X238%2.621278%1.29
Goals
Over 2.557%1.74Under 2.543%2.35BTTS yes54%1.85BTTS no46%2.17

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Beşiktaş · Columns: Başakşehir2-0 probability 10.5% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Beşiktaş – Başakşehir26 October 20262-0
Başakşehir – Beşiktaş15 February 20262-3
Beşiktaş – Başakşehir13 September 20252-1
Beşiktaş – Başakşehir12 April 20250-2
Başakşehir – Beşiktaş10 November 20240-0
Başakşehir – Beşiktaş4 April 20241-1