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Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Süper Lig · Matchday 9Saturday 24 October · 11:30 · Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu
Eyüpspor18th place
Full time0-1Rinvalo's pick: 0-1✓ Exact score
Kasımpaşa5th place
EYP 34%X 30%KAS 36%

What does the market say?

EyüpsporDrawKasımpaşaRinvalo34%30%36%
Market17%24%59%

✓ Agree · both back Kasımpaşa

Prediction

Predicted: 0-1
Key factors
  • Kasımpaşa lead by 80 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Kasımpaşa 1.8 points per game, Eyüpspor 0.6.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Kasımpaşa -0.2, Eyüpspor -0.8.
  • If Eyüpspor score first, they win 67% of the time
  • If Kasımpaşa score first, they win 68% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.2
Over 2.542%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Kasımpaşa win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
134%2.91X30%3.35236%2.79
Double chance
1X64%1.56X266%1.521270%1.43
Goals
Over 2.542%2.36Under 2.558%1.73BTTS yes49%2.03BTTS no51%1.97

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Eyüpspor · Columns: Kasımpaşa0-1 probability 10.3% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Eyüpspor – Kasımpaşa24 October 20260-1
Kasımpaşa – Eyüpspor15 March 20261-0
Eyüpspor – Kasımpaşa20 October 20252-0
Eyüpspor – Kasımpaşa10 May 20250-3
Kasımpaşa – Eyüpspor13 December 20242-0