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Conference League · League phase, matchday 6Thursday 17 December · 20:00 · Johan Cruijff ArenA
Ajax2nd place
Rinvalo prediction2-0
Getafe14th place
AJA 64%X 18%GET 18%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Ajax lead by 119 points on the European rating.
  • The La Liga average is 76 points above the Eredivisie average.
  • If Ajax score first, they win 83% of the time
  • If Getafe score first, they win 43% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.0 – 0.9
Over 2.557%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
164%1.57X18%5.50218%5.50
Double chance
1X82%1.22X236%2.751282%1.22
Goals
Over 2.557%1.74Under 2.543%2.35BTTS yes54%1.85BTTS no46%2.17

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
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3
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5
Rows: Ajax · Columns: Getafe2-0 probability 10.5%

Form

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