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Conference League · League phase, matchday 6Thursday 17 December · 20:00 · New Balance Arena
Atalanta3rd place
Rinvalo prediction2-1
Mjällby26th place
ATA 52%X 21%MJA 27%

Prediction

  • If Atalanta score first, they win 75% of the time
  • If Mjällby score first, they win 53% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.8 – 1.2
Over 2.558%
Both teams score60%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Atalanta win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
152%1.92X21%4.84227%3.67
Double chance
1X73%1.37X248%2.091279%1.26
Goals
Over 2.558%1.71Under 2.542%2.40BTTS yes60%1.67BTTS no40%2.49

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Atalanta · Columns: Mjällby1-1 probability 11.4%

Form

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