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Conference League · League phase, matchday 6Thursday 17 December · 20:00 · Vasil Levski National Stadium
CSKA Sofia10th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2
Thun33rd place
CSK 35%X 22%THU 43%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Thun lead by 110 points on the European rating.
  • If CSKA Sofia score first, they win 60% of the time
  • If Thun score first, they win 68% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.6
Over 2.558%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Thun win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
135%2.88X22%4.55243%2.31
Double chance
1X57%1.77X265%1.531278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.558%1.72Under 2.542%2.39BTTS yes61%1.63BTTS no39%2.58

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: CSKA Sofia · Columns: Thun1-1 probability 11.8%

Form

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