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Süper Lig · Matchday 29Sunday 18 April · 13:00 · Gain Park Stadyumu
Alanyaspor12th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Kasımpaşa5th place
ALN 38%X 29%KAS 33%

Prediction

  • If Alanyaspor score first, they win 69% of the time
  • If Kasımpaşa score first, they win 65% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.2
Over 2.545%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Alanyaspor win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
138%2.65X29%3.42233%3.03
Double chance
1X67%1.49X262%1.611271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.545%2.24Under 2.555%1.81BTTS yes51%1.96BTTS no49%2.04

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Alanyaspor · Columns: Kasımpaşa1-1 probability 13.8%

Form

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Head to head

Kasımpaşa – Alanyaspor19 April 20261-0
Alanyaspor – Kasımpaşa23 November 20251-2
Kasımpaşa – Alanyaspor15 March 20252-1
Alanyaspor – Kasımpaşa20 October 20241-2
Kasımpaşa – Alanyaspor4 February 20242-1
Alanyaspor – Kasımpaşa17 September 20233-3