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Süper Lig · Matchday 29Sunday 18 April · 13:00 · Gürsel Aksel Stadyumu
Göztepe9th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Erzurumspor11th place
GÖZ 67%X 21%ERZ 12%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Göztepe lead by 121 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Göztepe 0.3, Erzurumspor -0.5.
  • If Göztepe score first, they win 87% of the time
  • If Erzurumspor score first, they win 39% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals2.0 – 0.7
Over 2.551%
Both teams score45%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
167%1.49X21%4.82212%8.38
Double chance
1X88%1.14X233%3.061279%1.26
Goals
Over 2.551%1.97Under 2.549%2.04BTTS yes45%2.24BTTS no55%1.80

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
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5
Rows: Göztepe · Columns: Erzurumspor2-0 probability 13.3%

Form

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