TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Süper Lig · Matchday 29Sunday 18 April · 13:00 · Chobani Stadyumu
Fenerbahçe6th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Kocaelispor8th place
FB 68%X 21%KOC 11%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Fenerbahçe lead by 184 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Fenerbahçe 0.8, Kocaelispor -0.1.
  • Fenerbahçe take 2.0 points per game at home.
  • If Fenerbahçe score first, they win 88% of the time
  • If Kocaelispor score first, they win 38% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals2.0 – 0.7
Over 2.550%
Both teams score43%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
168%1.46X21%4.86211%9.06
Double chance
1X89%1.12X232%3.161279%1.26
Goals
Over 2.550%2.01Under 2.550%1.99BTTS yes43%2.35BTTS no57%1.74

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Fenerbahçe · Columns: Kocaelispor2-0 probability 13.9%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Kocaelispor – Fenerbahçe2 February 20260-2
Fenerbahçe – Kocaelispor23 August 20253-1