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Süper Lig · Matchday 29Sunday 18 April · 13:00 · Samsun 19 Mayıs Stadyumu
Samsunspor17th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2High confidence
Galatasaray1st place
SAM 17%X 22%GS 61%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Galatasaray lead by 286 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Galatasaray 2.4 points per game, Samsunspor 0.0.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Galatasaray 1.3, Samsunspor -0.8.
  • If Samsunspor score first, they win 42% of the time
  • If Galatasaray score first, they win 81% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals1.1 – 2.2
Over 2.564%
Both teams score60%
Likeliest score1-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
117%5.83X22%4.64261%1.63
Double chance
1X39%2.58X283%1.211278%1.27
Goals
Over 2.564%1.56Under 2.536%2.79BTTS yes60%1.66BTTS no40%2.51

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Samsunspor · Columns: Galatasaray1-2 probability 9.8%

Form

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Head to head

Samsunspor – Galatasaray2 May 20264-1
Galatasaray – Samsunspor5 December 20253-2
Samsunspor – Galatasaray11 April 20250-2
Galatasaray – Samsunspor10 November 20243-2
Samsunspor – Galatasaray2 February 20240-2
Galatasaray – Samsunspor16 September 20234-2