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Süper Lig · Matchday 13Monday 30 November · 18:00 · Tüpraş Stadyumu
Beşiktaş4th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
Galatasaray1st place
BJK 38%X 27%GS 35%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Beşiktaş take 2.2 points per game at home.
  • Derby match.
  • If Beşiktaş score first, they win 66% of the time
  • If Galatasaray score first, they win 63% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.4
Over 2.557%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Beşiktaş win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
138%2.62X27%3.73235%2.86
Double chance
1X65%1.54X262%1.621273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.557%1.76Under 2.543%2.32BTTS yes61%1.65BTTS no39%2.53

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Beşiktaş · Columns: Galatasaray1-1 probability 12.1%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Beşiktaş – Galatasaray7 March 20260-1
Galatasaray – Beşiktaş4 October 20251-1
Beşiktaş – Galatasaray29 March 20252-1
Galatasaray – Beşiktaş28 October 20242-1
Beşiktaş – Galatasaray3 March 20240-1
Galatasaray – Beşiktaş21 October 20232-1