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Süper Lig · Matchday 13Saturday 28 November · 13:00 · Samsun 19 Mayıs Stadyumu
Samsunspor17th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Gençlerbirliği14th place
SAM 47%X 27%GB 26%

Prediction

  • If Samsunspor score first, they win 74% of the time
  • If Gençlerbirliği score first, they win 57% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.1
Over 2.551%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Samsunspor win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
147%2.15X27%3.71226%3.78
Double chance
1X74%1.36X253%1.871273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.551%1.97Under 2.549%2.03BTTS yes55%1.83BTTS no45%2.20

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Samsunspor · Columns: Gençlerbirliği1-1 probability 12.7%

Form

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Head to head

Gençlerbirliği – Samsunspor18 January 20261-1
Samsunspor – Gençlerbirliği9 August 20252-1