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Süper Lig · Matchday 13Saturday 28 November · 16:00 · Gaziantep Stadyumu
Gaziantep FK16th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Medium confidence
Amed SK2nd place
GFK 22%X 23%AMD 55%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Amed SK 2.6 points per game, Gaziantep FK 0.0.
  • Amed SK lead by 128 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Amed SK 1.3, Gaziantep FK -0.5.
  • If Gaziantep FK score first, they win 48% of the time
  • If Amed SK score first, they win 77% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals1.3 – 2.1
Over 2.566%
Both teams score64%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Amed SK win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
122%4.51X23%4.32255%1.83
Double chance
1X45%2.21X278%1.281277%1.30
Goals
Over 2.566%1.52Under 2.534%2.91BTTS yes64%1.56BTTS no36%2.79

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Gaziantep FK · Columns: Amed SK1-1 probability 9.8%

Form

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