TR
Picks
Mon 20:15BEN2-0ALV77%Mon 20:15GIL1-0VSC44%Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%
Champions League · League phase, matchday 6Tuesday 8 December · 20:00 · Allwyn Arena
AEK Athens29th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2
Galatasaray23rd place
AEK 34%X 22%GS 44%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Galatasaray lead by 118 points on the European rating.
  • If AEK Athens score first, they win 59% of the time
  • If Galatasaray score first, they win 69% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.6
Over 2.558%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Galatasaray win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
134%2.97X22%4.56244%2.26
Double chance
1X56%1.80X266%1.511278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.558%1.72Under 2.542%2.38BTTS yes61%1.64BTTS no39%2.57

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: AEK Athens · Columns: Galatasaray1-1 probability 11.8%

Form

Compare →