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Conference League · League phase, matchday 6Thursday 17 December · 20:00 · MCH Arena
FC Midtjylland25th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1
Hajduk Split15th place
MID 61%X 19%HAJ 20%

Prediction

Key factors
  • FC Midtjylland lead by 93 points on the European rating.
  • If FC Midtjylland score first, they win 81% of the time
  • If Hajduk Split score first, they win 45% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.0 – 1.0
Over 2.558%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a FC Midtjylland win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
161%1.65X19%5.28220%4.89
Double chance
1X80%1.26X239%2.541281%1.23
Goals
Over 2.558%1.73Under 2.542%2.37BTTS yes56%1.79BTTS no44%2.27

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: FC Midtjylland · Columns: Hajduk Split1-1 probability 10.7%

Form

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