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Conference League · League phase, matchday 6Thursday 17 December · 20:00 · Stade Louis II
Monaco27th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0
Lincoln Red Imps23rd place
MON 67%X 17%LIN 16%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Monaco lead by 152 points on the European rating.
  • If Monaco score first, they win 85% of the time
  • If Lincoln Red Imps score first, they win 39% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.1 – 0.9
Over 2.557%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
167%1.49X17%5.83216%6.44
Double chance
1X84%1.18X233%3.061283%1.21
Goals
Over 2.557%1.76Under 2.543%2.32BTTS yes51%1.96BTTS no49%2.04

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Monaco · Columns: Lincoln Red Imps2-0 probability 11.5%

Form

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