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Conference League · League phase, matchday 6Thursday 17 December · 20:00 · Stelios Kyriakides Stadium
Pafos FC29th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0
Heart of Midlothian16th place
PAF 62%X 19%HEA 19%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Pafos FC lead by 105 points on the European rating.
  • If Pafos FC score first, they win 82% of the time
  • If Heart of Midlothian score first, they win 44% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.0 – 1.0
Over 2.558%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-0 is the likeliest score within a Pafos FC win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
162%1.61X19%5.37219%5.15
Double chance
1X81%1.24X238%2.631281%1.23
Goals
Over 2.558%1.73Under 2.542%2.36BTTS yes55%1.82BTTS no45%2.23

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Pafos FC · Columns: Heart of Midlothian1-1 probability 10.6%

Form

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