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Conference League · League phase, matchday 6Thursday 17 December · 20:00 · Olympic Stadium Athens
Panathinaikos30th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2
Brighton7th place
PAN 26%X 21%BHA 53%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Brighton lead by 187 points on the European rating.
  • If Panathinaikos score first, they win 52% of the time
  • If Brighton score first, they win 76% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.8
Over 2.557%
Both teams score58%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Brighton win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
126%3.89X21%4.69253%1.89
Double chance
1X47%2.13X274%1.351279%1.27
Goals
Over 2.557%1.75Under 2.543%2.33BTTS yes58%1.71BTTS no42%2.40

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Panathinaikos · Columns: Brighton1-1 probability 11.5%

Form

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