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Süper Lig · Matchday 27Sunday 4 April · 13:00 · Gain Park Stadyumu
Alanyaspor12th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Gençlerbirliği14th place
ALN 44%X 28%GB 28%

Prediction

  • If Alanyaspor score first, they win 73% of the time
  • If Gençlerbirliği score first, they win 60% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.1
Over 2.545%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Alanyaspor win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
144%2.28X28%3.57228%3.57
Double chance
1X72%1.39X256%1.781272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.545%2.21Under 2.555%1.82BTTS yes51%1.98BTTS no49%2.02

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Alanyaspor · Columns: Gençlerbirliği1-1 probability 13.5%

Form

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Head to head

Gençlerbirliği – Alanyaspor2 November 20265-0
Alanyaspor – Gençlerbirliği9 March 20260-0
Gençlerbirliği – Alanyaspor4 October 20252-2