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Süper Lig · Matchday 27Sunday 4 April · 13:00 · Gürsel Aksel Stadyumu
Göztepe9th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Fenerbahçe6th place
GÖZ 35%X 26%FB 38%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Fenerbahçe lead by 107 rating points.
  • If Göztepe score first, they win 62% of the time
  • If Fenerbahçe score first, they win 65% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.6
Over 2.561%
Both teams score63%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Fenerbahçe win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
135%2.83X26%3.80238%2.61
Double chance
1X62%1.62X265%1.551274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.561%1.65Under 2.539%2.54BTTS yes63%1.58BTTS no37%2.73

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Göztepe · Columns: Fenerbahçe1-1 probability 11.4%

Form

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Head to head

Fenerbahçe – Göztepe31 October 20261-2
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Fenerbahçe – Göztepe16 April 20222-0