TR
Picks
Süper Lig · Matchday 27Sunday 4 April · 13:00 · Gaziantep Stadyumu
Gaziantep FK16th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Medium confidence
Trabzonspor3rd place
GFK 21%X 24%TS 55%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Trabzonspor lead by 258 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Trabzonspor 3.0 points per game, Gaziantep FK 0.0.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Trabzonspor 0.5, Gaziantep FK -0.5.
  • If Gaziantep FK score first, they win 49% of the time
  • If Trabzonspor score first, they win 78% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.9
Over 2.556%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Trabzonspor win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
121%4.72X24%4.13255%1.83
Double chance
1X45%2.20X279%1.271276%1.32
Goals
Over 2.556%1.78Under 2.544%2.28BTTS yes56%1.77BTTS no44%2.30

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Gaziantep FK · Columns: Trabzonspor1-1 probability 11.4%

Head to head

Trabzonspor – Gaziantep FK1 November 20262-0
Gaziantep FK – Trabzonspor22 February 20261-2
Trabzonspor – Gaziantep FK20 September 20251-1
Trabzonspor – Gaziantep FK23 February 20253-2
Gaziantep FK – Trabzonspor23 September 20240-0
Trabzonspor – Gaziantep FK28 April 20244-2