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Süper Lig · Matchday 27Sunday 4 April · 13:00 · Tüpraş Stadyumu
Beşiktaş4th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Kasımpaşa5th place
BJK 64%X 22%KAS 14%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Beşiktaş lead by 97 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Beşiktaş 0.8, Kasımpaşa 0.0.
  • Beşiktaş take 2.2 points per game at home.
  • If Beşiktaş score first, they win 85% of the time
  • If Kasımpaşa score first, they win 41% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.0 – 0.8
Over 2.554%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
164%1.56X22%4.52214%7.22
Double chance
1X86%1.16X236%2.781278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.554%1.84Under 2.546%2.19BTTS yes50%2.00BTTS no50%2.00

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Beşiktaş · Columns: Kasımpaşa2-0 probability 11.7%

Form

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Head to head

Kasımpaşa – Beşiktaş1 November 20262-2
Beşiktaş – Kasımpaşa19 March 20262-1
Kasımpaşa – Beşiktaş26 October 20251-1
Kasımpaşa – Beşiktaş7 April 20251-1
Beşiktaş – Kasımpaşa2 November 20241-3
Kasımpaşa – Beşiktaş26 May 20242-1