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Süper Lig · Matchday 27Sunday 4 April · 13:00 · Samsun 19 Mayıs Stadyumu
Samsunspor17th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Başakşehir10th place
SAM 33%X 27%İBFK 41%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Başakşehir lead by 141 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Başakşehir 2.0 points per game, Samsunspor 0.0.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Başakşehir 0.1, Samsunspor -0.8.
  • If Samsunspor score first, they win 61% of the time
  • If Başakşehir score first, they win 68% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.6
Over 2.557%
Both teams score60%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Başakşehir win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
133%3.08X27%3.73241%2.46
Double chance
1X59%1.69X267%1.481273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.557%1.75Under 2.543%2.33BTTS yes60%1.65BTTS no40%2.53

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Samsunspor · Columns: Başakşehir1-1 probability 12.0%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Başakşehir – Samsunspor1 November 20265-2
Başakşehir – Samsunspor9 May 20263-0
Samsunspor – Başakşehir14 December 20250-2
Başakşehir – Samsunspor1 February 20254-0
Samsunspor – Başakşehir18 September 20242-0
Başakşehir – Samsunspor3 March 20241-0