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Süper Lig · Matchday 23Sunday 28 February · 12:00 · Tüpraş Stadyumu
Beşiktaş4th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Amed SK2nd place
BJK 54%X 25%AMD 21%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Beşiktaş lead by 77 rating points.
  • Beşiktaş take 2.2 points per game at home.
  • If Beşiktaş score first, they win 77% of the time
  • If Amed SK score first, they win 48% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals2.0 – 1.2
Over 2.563%
Both teams score62%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Beşiktaş win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
154%1.86X25%4.04221%4.67
Double chance
1X79%1.27X246%2.161275%1.33
Goals
Over 2.563%1.59Under 2.537%2.69BTTS yes62%1.61BTTS no38%2.63

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Beşiktaş · Columns: Amed SK1-1 probability 10.4%

Form

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Head to head

Amed SK – Beşiktaş20 September 20263-2