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Süper Lig · Matchday 23Sunday 28 February · 12:00 · Samsun 19 Mayıs Stadyumu
Samsunspor17th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Erzurumspor11th place
SAM 51%X 27%ERZ 22%

Prediction

  • If Samsunspor score first, they win 78% of the time
  • If Erzurumspor score first, they win 53% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.0
Over 2.547%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Samsunspor win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
151%1.95X27%3.74222%4.57
Double chance
1X78%1.28X249%2.061273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.547%2.13Under 2.553%1.89BTTS yes50%2.00BTTS no50%2.00

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Samsunspor · Columns: Erzurumspor1-1 probability 12.7%

Form

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Head to head

Erzurumspor – Samsunspor20 September 20261-0