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Süper Lig · Matchday 23Sunday 28 February · 12:00 · Eryaman Stadyumu
Gençlerbirliği14th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Başakşehir10th place
GB 33%X 27%İBFK 40%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Başakşehir lead by 112 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Başakşehir 2.0 points per game, Gençlerbirliği 0.8.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Başakşehir 0.1, Gençlerbirliği -0.5.
  • If Gençlerbirliği score first, they win 62% of the time
  • If Başakşehir score first, they win 68% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.5
Over 2.552%
Both teams score57%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Başakşehir win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
133%3.05X27%3.68240%2.50
Double chance
1X60%1.67X267%1.491273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.552%1.93Under 2.548%2.08BTTS yes57%1.77BTTS no43%2.30

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Gençlerbirliği · Columns: Başakşehir1-1 probability 12.9%

Form

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Head to head

Başakşehir – Gençlerbirliği19 September 20264-0
Başakşehir – Gençlerbirliği11 April 20263-0
Gençlerbirliği – Başakşehir7 November 20252-1