TR
Picks
Süper Lig · Matchday 23Sunday 28 February · 12:00 · Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu
Eyüpspor18th place
Rinvalo prediction0-2High confidence
Fenerbahçe6th place
EYP 12%X 18%FB 71%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Fenerbahçe lead by 314 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Fenerbahçe 0.8, Eyüpspor -1.5.
  • Last 5 games: Fenerbahçe 1.8 points per game, Eyüpspor 0.0.
  • If Eyüpspor score first, they win 34% of the time
  • If Fenerbahçe score first, they win 87% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals0.9 – 2.4
Over 2.565%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score0-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
112%8.50X18%5.66271%1.42
Double chance
1X29%3.40X288%1.131282%1.21
Goals
Over 2.565%1.54Under 2.535%2.85BTTS yes55%1.82BTTS no45%2.22

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Eyüpspor · Columns: Fenerbahçe0-2 probability 10.5%

Head to head

Fenerbahçe – Eyüpspor20 September 20268-0
Fenerbahçe – Eyüpspor17 May 20263-3
Eyüpspor – Fenerbahçe20 December 20250-3
Fenerbahçe – Eyüpspor18 May 20252-1
Eyüpspor – Fenerbahçe20 December 20241-1