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Champions League · League phase, matchday 2Tuesday 13 October · 20:00 · Red Bull Arena Leipzig
RB Leipzig30th place
Full time1-0Rinvalo's pick: 2-1✓ Result correct
PSV Eindhoven18th place
RBL 43%X 22%PSV 35%

Prediction

Predicted: 2-1
Key factors
  • The Bundesliga average is 165 points above the Eredivisie average.
  • If RB Leipzig score first, they win 68% of the time
  • If PSV Eindhoven score first, they win 60% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.4
Over 2.558%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a RB Leipzig win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
143%2.30X22%4.58235%2.89
Double chance
1X65%1.53X256%1.771278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.558%1.72Under 2.542%2.40BTTS yes61%1.63BTTS no39%2.59

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: RB Leipzig · Columns: PSV Eindhoven1-0 probability 7.1% · final score

Form

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Head to head

RB Leipzig – PSV Eindhoven13 October 20261-0